Stephenson Trust for Citizenship
Interested in #Brexit analysis? Here is a new post about a more in depth analysis by two other researchers - more data - very worthwhile the read! http://items.ssrc.org/why-inequality-matters-the-lessons-of-brexit/
The data as per actual votes: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-38762034
Prof John Curtice
University of Strathclyde
More information on: http://www.whatukthinks.org
My summary:
- Why?
- because of identity
(national identity, age, education, race, geography, socioeconomic class) - because of differences in education
(graduates = winner of globalisation, working class loose out) - not believing remain
(they changed position e.g. PM Cameron after EU bashing for years & then Pro EU campaigning) - changes in the immediate surroundings and life due to immigration
- the Brexit campaign was far more effective & emotional
- the Remain camp had no answer on how to deal with immigration
- the split runs across all party lines except UKIP
- because party lines did not count (only ukip voted as predicted)
- Even the remainers were reluctant to vote Remain
- The leavers are the ones that don't put up with the fallout of global capitalism
- The referendum was lost 19th of February when Cameron came back with too little on immigration & when the Tory party was allowed to split into remain/leave
- Nigel Farage the most influential politician of his time?
Questions & answers session:
- Will there be a new vote before 2020 - Probably not
- Will there be Indiref2 soon? Probably not - although at the moment there is a majority it is only a few %, not enough to be secure over a long campaign
- Why is there a difference between telephone & online polls - no one knows - yet.
